The ability to analyse sporting events on 1 win is a key skill for those who want to turn betting from a lottery into a conscious hobby. It may seem complicated for beginners, but a systematic approach significantly increases the chances of success. Here are the main aspects to pay attention to.

Basics of Effective Analysis: The Foundation for Decisions

Team Motivation

Motivation is often a decisive factor, especially at the end of the season or in cup tournaments. A team fighting for the championship or avoiding relegation shows more dedication than a team with no tournament goals. For example:

  • Clubs competing for European places give their all even in difficult matches.
  • Teams that have already achieved their goals for the season often field reserve players, reducing their strength.
  • Financial incentives (win bonuses) or important derbies add extra motivation.

Current Form

An analysis of the last 5–10 games shows the real state of the team. A positive streak (wins/draws) indicates confidence and teamwork.

A negative streak may indicate a crisis, but it also increases the likelihood of a ‘comeback’ — the team is eager to break the losing streak.

It is important to look not only at the results, but also at the quality of the opponents: a defeat against the leader is different from a defeat against an outsider.

Line-Ups and Injuries

The absence of key players drastically changes the strength of a team. The loss of the best striker reduces scoring efficiency; injuries in defence lead to conceded goals.

Before placing a bet on 1Win for a match, check the latest news: even an hour before the game, the absence of a star player may be confirmed (as in the NBA example with LeBron James).

Transfer rumours also have an impact: a player preparing for a transfer may be saving his energy.

Tactical and Contextual Factors

Playing Style and Tactics

The ratio of attacking/defensive formations determines the nature of the match:

  • Attacking teams (4-3-3, 3-4-3 formations) tend to play for more goals.
  • Defensive clubs (5-3-2, 4-4-2) tend to produce lower scores.

It is important how the styles of the opponents interact: if the attacking team faces a ‘closed’ team, the total is likely to be lower.

Home/Away Statistics

70% of football teams perform better at home thanks to the support of the stands. Always compare home performance (e.g., Manchester City wins 90% of its matches at Etihad) and away performance (e.g., underdogs often lose away by a margin of ≥2 goals).

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Some teams struggle to beat an ‘uncomfortable’ opponent for years, regardless of form. Analyse the results of the last 3-5 head-to-head matches and trends (e.g. frequent draws or high totals).

External Factors

Referee: strict referee = more cards; ‘patient’ = fewer fouls.

Weather: rain or wind reduces the accuracy of passes and shots, leading to fewer goals.

Schedule: fatigue from frequent games or long flights worsens physical condition.

Working with Statistics and Data

Key Metrics for Different Markets

Match outcome: shots on target, ball possession, expected goals (xG).

Corners: average number of corners per game, aggressiveness of attacks.

Cards: how ‘dirty’ teams play (fouls per game), referee style.

Example: To bet on 1Win com on TM 6.5 corners for Roma, analyse their last 5 games. If the numbers are consistently low (4–6) and the odds are ≥1.4, this is an option.

Where to Get Data

Use free resources:

  • Specialised websites with sports statistics.
  • Official league websites — injuries, line-ups.
  • News portals — press conferences with coaches, rumours.

Be Careful With ‘overrated’ Statistics

Sportsbooks also analyse data, and their assessment is reflected in the odds. Look for imbalances: for example, if a team’s xG is higher than its actual goals, a surge in scoring is likely.

Odds Movement: How to Interpret

Sudden changes in odds are a signal. A drop in the odds for a win from 2.00 to 1.70 often means a leak of information (injury, change in line-up) or mass betting.

An increase in the odds indicates a decrease in the probability of the outcome.

Always check the reasons for the changes! If there are none, review your analysis.

Tips for Beginners: How Not to Drown in data

Specialise

Choose 1–2 leagues (e.g. V.League 1 and the Premier League) and 3–4 types of bets (outcome, total, corners). A narrow focus = depth of analysis.

Manage Your Bankroll

Bet 1–5% of your budget (e.g., 10,000–50,000 VND with a bankroll of 1,000,000 VND). This will protect you from losing quickly.

Avoid Emotions

Don’t bet on your favourite team ‘with your heart’ and don’t try to win back your losses. Cold calculation is the basis of success.

Check the Line-Ups

Make your final analysis 1 hour before the match, when the starting line-ups are announced. This will eliminate surprises.

Conclusion: The Path to Informed Betting

Match analysis is a skill that develops with practice. Start small: study motivation, form and line-ups, use statistics for specific markets (corners, cards), and follow the news.

Over time, you will learn to see subtle connections and find favourable odds at 1Win casino. The main thing is to treat betting as an intellectual hobby where discipline and analysis mean more than luck. Success will come with experience!

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